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Should you not know what Longshots are, we'll start with some history and a definition. Several years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of an even better name, we will call the Hot Number Strategy. Together with it came the common marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit within the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners in the last 10 drawings. This may improve your prospects of winning the lottery.
Originally, it sounds plausible enough. Still, let's think of this. Implicit in this strategy is the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that have not Hit in the last 10 drawings are thought about a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Still, I do not malign the use of Longshots. In fact, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is an absolute necessity for virtually every viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up in the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, undoubtedly, a very expensive lesson. A lot of money was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. The truth is, including Longshots is crucial to any viable lottery strategy because, on a typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery in the US and Canada for over 2 decades. That's when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. By way of example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it really is for a 6/44 lottery. Yet, you can be assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It's simple for anyone to verify this. Well, maybe without an excellent lottery software program, not so simple. Nevertheless, in any case, this really is the approach. List all the lottery numbers that have Hit within the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not within the list has to be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers within the next drawing who were Longshots. Do this for the whole lottery history. If you average the number of Longshots which were winners, you will find the answer lies someplace between 25 and 40 percent.
How can you take advantage of this data? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on an average, 30% of the winning numbers within the next drawing will be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, it means that you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) As always, this doesn't happen every drawing but it's unwaveringly persistent over-time. For instance, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! To put it differently, you can count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the common, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must are already (and still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Some of you are, without doubt, asking the way you may take benefit of Longshot when you play. Continuing with the example above, it really is very simple. Let's say you choose to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the help of lottery analysis software. Not much of a bad strategy since you have eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you make certain that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers in your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It really is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that will not include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This really is called playing the odds. Actually, that's what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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