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In the event that you don't know what Longshots are, we'll begin with some history and also a definition. A number of years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of a more suitable name, we will call the Hot Number Strategy. As well as it came the common marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit within the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners within the last 10 drawings. This will certainly enhance your probability of winning the lottery.
At the start, it sounds plausible enough. However, let's think about this. Implicit in this particular strategy is the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that haven't Hit within the last 10 drawings are considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Nonetheless, I do not malign the usage of Longshots. Actually, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is an absolute necessity for any viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up in the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, undoubtedly, a really expensive lesson. A whole lot of cash was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. You see, including Longshots will be vital to any viable lottery strategy because, on a typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery within the US and Canada for over twenty years. That is when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. For example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it's for a 6/44 lottery. Still, you can be assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It is simple for someone to verify this. Well, maybe without an excellent lottery software program, not so simple. But, in any case, this really is the approach. List all of the lottery numbers which have Hit in the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not within the list must be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers in the next drawing that have been Longshots. Do this for the whole lottery history. If you average the number of Longshots which were winners, you will find the answer lies someplace between 25 and 40%.
How can you make use of these facts? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on the typical, 30% of the winning numbers within the next drawing could be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, consequently you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) Simply, this doesn't happen every drawing but it is unwaveringly persistent over time. For example, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! Basically, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the regular, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must are already (but still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Several of you are, undoubtedly, asking the way you takes good thing about Longshot whenever you play. Continuing with the example above, it really is very simple. Let's say you decide to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the help of lottery analysis software. Not only a bad strategy since you have eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you make certain that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers in your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that will not include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This really is called playing the odds. Actually, that is what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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