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In the event that you don't determine what Longshots are, we will start with some history and a definition. A few years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of a far better name, we will call the Hot Number Strategy. In addition to it came the typical marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit in the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners in the last 10 drawings. It will increase your chances of winning the lottery.Initially, it sounds plausible enough. Still, let's think of this. Implicit in the strategy will be the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that have not Hit in the last 10 drawings will be considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Nonetheless, I don't malign the utilization of Longshots. In fact, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is an absolute necessity for just about any viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up within the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, undoubtedly, an extremely expensive lesson. A great deal of money was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. You see, including Longshots is essential to any viable lottery strategy because, on a typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery in the US and Canada for over twenty years. That's when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. As an example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it's for a 6/44 lottery. However, you may be assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It is simple for anyone to verify this. Well, maybe without a good lottery software program, not so simple. Yet, in either case, this really is the approach. List all of the lottery numbers which have Hit within the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not within the list has to be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers in the next drawing who were Longshots. Do this for the entire lottery history. If you average the range of Longshots who were winners, you shall find the answer lies someplace between 25 and 40%.
How can you make use of these details? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on the average, 30% of the winning numbers within the next drawing will be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, it means that you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) Keep in mind, this does not happen every drawing but it is unwaveringly persistent over time. For instance, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! Put simply, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the typical, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must have been (and still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Some of you are, undoubtedly, asking the way you can take benefit of Longshot whenever you play. Continuing with the example above, it really is very simple. Let's say you opt to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the assistance of lottery analysis software. Not a bad strategy since you've got eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you make sure that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers in your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It truly is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that doesn't include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This is called playing the odds. The truth is, that is what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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